Top Analyst Warns: Bitcoin Could Collapse in 7–11 Years

Justin Bons, founder of Cyber Capital, has made a bold prediction: Bitcoin could collapse within 7 to 11 years. His concern revolves around Bitcoin’s shrinking block rewards, expected to drop to 0.39 BTC by 2036, creating an annual security budget of just $2.3 billion—insufficient to protect a multi-trillion-dollar asset, he argues.

He also criticizes Bitcoin's rigid governance, especially the refusal to allow inflation or increase block size, a stance dating back to the 2015–2017 debates. According to Bons, this inflexibility could trigger chain splits or economic instability.

In addition, quantum computing poses a growing threat. Experts are divided on timelines: some, like Google’s Craig Gidney, warn of risks by 2030–2035, while others believe we have 20+ years before cryptographic systems are compromised.

In summary, Bons believes the combination of economic design flaws, technical rigidity, and the looming quantum threat could be Bitcoin’s downfall unless major changes are made.