Fed Pause Could Push Bitcoin Beyond $100K, Say Analysts

Bitcoin surged past $96,800 following reports that the U.S. and China will resume trade talks this week, triggering a $1,700 rally.

The market-wide boost also lifted altcoins such as XRP, Cardano, and Dogecoin. With tensions easing, investor attention now shifts to the upcoming Federal Reserve interest rate decision.

Cycles Over Headlines?
According to Stockmoney Lizards, Bitcoin’s long-term price moves follow the 4-year halving cycle more than macroeconomic news. Their analysis notes:

• BTC historically rallies post-halving
• A 70% correction followed the 2021 peak — textbook behavior
• The recent break above the 200-week SMA confirms a bullish trend reversal

They argue macro events like Fed decisions merely amplify existing sentiment, not change the overall direction.

ETF Demand Could Trigger Supply Shock
With institutional demand via spot Bitcoin ETFs growing, analysts believe a supply crunch is forming — one that could push BTC above $100K.

Arthur Hayes Sees BTC Multiplying
BitMEX founder Arthur Hayes added:

• April 9 marked the cycle bottom
• Central banks may resume printing
• BTC could 6x like it did from 2022 to 2025

All signs suggest the long-term bull cycle is alive and well — and $100K may be closer than we think.